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Red73
76640.8
415931.2
248912.3
Blue92
196734.5
641835.8
1037215.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748140506070901001101207392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+17
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
58Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points6
73Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#25
40.80.5
32.433.0
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End5.4
red by 5.0
6418
#11
35.81.7
27.829.5
Auto9.7
Teleop25.6
End0.5
Second
4159
#15
31.20.5
21.922.4
Auto7.5
Teleop21.0
End2.7
blue by 3.3
1967
#17
34.51.7
20.522.2
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Third
2489
#33
12.30.5
13.914.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 3.0
15.31.7
22.123.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned