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Red61
23674.2
1064415.1
623839.4
Blue112
135144.1
681429.6
1025210.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7075020406010012014016061112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+51
Endgame+47
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +33
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
40Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
6Foul points10
61Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.9
32.231.3
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End7.6
blue by 4.8
44.14.1
32.836.9
Auto15.6
Teleop25.8
End2.7
Second
10644
#23DQ
15.10.9
15.514.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.9
blue by 14.6
6814
#27
29.64.1
18.622.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End1.5
Third
2367
#37
4.20.9
15.114.2
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End2.0
blue by 6.5
10.74.1
14.118.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed