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Red102
285426.7
304559.9
50277.7
Blue89
135144.1
1064415.1
804844.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901015015010289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points19
10Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +23
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
88Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#7
7L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
102Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.91.4
52.353.7
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
red by 15.2
44.70.2
40.540.3
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
Second
2854
#12
26.72.3
24.026.3
Auto3.5
Teleop20.6
End2.6
blue by 17.4
44.10.3
36.936.6
Auto15.6
Teleop25.8
End2.7
Third
5027
#31
7.72.3
5.27.5
Auto0.9
Teleop7.3
End-0.5
blue by 7.4
15.10.3
14.714.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed