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Red131
58174.7
196734.5
66813.7
Blue158
499018.9
594088.1
900612.0
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11211290100120130140150131158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+21
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
12Processor points18
16Net points32
28Algae points50
96Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#5
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
6Foul points12
131Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
74.70.9
67.268.1
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
blue by 13.4
88.13.9
73.777.7
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
Second
1967
#17
34.51.6
22.223.8
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 15.5
4990
#21
18.93.9
16.620.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Third
668
#30
13.71.6
10.311.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7
red by 1.7
9006
#20
12.03.9
8.912.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned