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Red91
879327.2
661931.9
1005910.7
Blue31
264320.0
64917.8
1025210.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8364020401001201401609131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+62Teleop
+66Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
18Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +53
15Coral scored#3
53Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
65Total teleop12
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
2Foul points8
91Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6619
#13
31.91.6
21.723.3
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
red by 11.9
2643
#24
20.04.5
19.615.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
Second
27.21.6
28.129.7
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End3.7
red by 9.4
649
#26
17.84.5
20.115.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End3.6
Third
10.71.6
19.721.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Level
10.74.5
18.113.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed