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Red49
87519.9
248912.3
490415.6
Blue72
623839.4
75118.4
67038.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301100501001502004972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
Endgame+27
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
30Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points2
49Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#28
15.60.1
9.59.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
blue by 23.8
39.43.0
31.328.3
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Second
2489
#33
12.30.1
14.414.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 25.6
670
#5
38.03.0
42.639.6
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Third
8751
#32
9.90.1
13.813.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.5
blue by 8.5
751
#16
18.43.0
18.115.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned