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Red78
641835.8
170011.7
681429.6
Blue46
605914.8
10030.9
388020.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6768204060801001207846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+16Endgame
+32Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
53Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
16Foul points0
78Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#11
35.80.0
29.529.6
Auto9.7
Teleop25.6
End0.5
red by 4.9
100
#10
30.91.3
23.121.8
Auto8.0
Teleop19.8
End3.2
Second
6814
#27
29.60.0
22.722.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End1.5
red by 9.0
3880
#18
20.70.8
24.223.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Third
1700
#19
11.70.0
9.59.5
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 3.0
6059
#35
14.81.3
10.59.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed