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Red180
76640.8
1037215.3
1323108.2
Blue74
415931.2
23674.2
914331.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16958010015020025030018074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+106Teleop
+114Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave0
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +75
25Coral scored#9
91Coral points32
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
125Total teleop50
Reef
15L4#3
5L3#3
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
4Foul points12
180Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.22.5
85.487.9
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
red by 76.4
9143
#14
31.81.7
29.227.5
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8
Second
766
#25
40.82.5
33.035.5
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End5.4
red by 9.6
4159
#15
31.21.7
22.420.7
Auto7.5
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Third
15.32.5
23.826.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
red by 11.1
2367
#37
4.21.7
14.212.6
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed