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Red191
304559.9
1005910.7
594088.1
Blue60
66813.7
879327.2
724511.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16043010020025030019160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+129Teleop
+133Endgame
+131Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave6
8Coral scored#0
41Coral points0
41Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +94
25Coral scored#9
90Coral points32
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
18Processor points6
28Net points4
46Algae points10
136Total teleop42
Reef
15L4#3
8L3#3
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
43Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +131
0Foul points2
191Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.15.3
68.473.7
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
red by 60.9
27.20.3
28.328.1
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End3.7
Second
59.93.2
49.152.3
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
red by 46.2
668
#30
13.70.3
10.510.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7
Third
10.75.3
14.419.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.5
blue by 0.5
7245
#36
11.20.3
10.410.1
Auto2.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed