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Red14
264320.0
900612.0
75118.4
Blue88
490415.6
661931.9
804844.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6970203040506080901488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+74
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +65
1Coral scored#13
4Coral points45
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
4Total teleop69
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#4
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
2Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points0
14Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#24
20.05.4
25.119.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
blue by 24.7
44.71.5
39.040.5
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
Second
751
#16
18.45.4
23.518.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
blue by 13.4
6619
#13
31.92.6
19.121.7
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
Third
9006
#20
12.05.4
14.48.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End0.6
blue by 3.6
4904
#28
15.62.6
6.99.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed