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Red97
10030.9
304559.9
661931.9
Blue136
58174.7
1037215.3
264320.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11111240608010012014016018097136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +26
16Coral scored#22
56Coral points78
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
70Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#9
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
97Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.9
42.942.0
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
blue by 14.8
581
#3
74.71.7
61.162.8
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
Second
6619
#13
31.91.6
29.027.5
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
red by 11.9
2643
#24
20.02.9
20.223.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
Third
100
#10
30.91.6
27.826.3
Auto8.0
Teleop19.8
End3.2
red by 15.6
15.35.4
15.320.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned