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Red77
248912.3
804844.7
914331.8
Blue47
681429.6
490415.6
388020.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87680204060801001201401607747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+36Teleop
+42Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +33
12Coral scored#7
44Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
62Total teleop29
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#8
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points12
77Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.1
32.032.1
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
red by 15.0
6814
#27
29.62.8
18.815.9
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End1.5
Second
9143
#14
31.80.1
20.921.0
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8
red by 11.1
3880
#18
20.72.3
21.219.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Third
2489
#33
12.30.1
23.123.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 3.2
4904
#28
15.62.8
20.617.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed