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Red147
879327.2
304559.9
75118.4
Blue25
499018.9
50277.7
1005910.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11847010015020014725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+60Teleop
+68Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave0
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points6
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
59Total teleop19
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
8Cage & park0
8Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +122
54Foul points0
147Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.4
53.753.3
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
red by 40.9
4990
#21
18.92.7
20.617.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
27.20.6
29.729.1
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End3.7
red by 16.5
10.72.7
21.318.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Third
751
#16
18.40.6
15.114.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
red by 10.8
5027
#31
7.72.7
7.54.8
Auto0.9
Teleop7.3
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed