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Red97
804844.7
264320.0
605914.8
Blue144
285426.7
594088.1
1064415.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6314205010020025097144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
15Coral points27
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
16Coral scored#20
58Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
76Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#8
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
2Foul points0
97Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.71.3
40.341.6
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
blue by 43.4
88.11.6
77.779.3
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
Second
2643
#24
20.02.1
15.117.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
blue by 6.7
2854
#12
26.71.6
26.327.9
Auto3.5
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Third
6059
#35
14.82.1
9.211.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 0.3
15.11.6
14.315.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned