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Red96
58174.7
23674.2
64917.8
Blue215
724511.2
1323108.2
196734.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001445020025096215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+123
Endgame+121
Fouls+119
AutonomousBlue +35
9Leave3
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points41
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +88
13Coral scored#31
47Coral points111
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
6Processor points18
16Net points28
22Algae points46
69Total teleop157
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#10
2L2#12
2L1 · trough#8
18Game pieces#49
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +119
2Foul points0
96Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
74.70.7
70.569.8
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
blue by 33.5
108.28.3
91.9100.3
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
Second
649
#26
17.81.1
14.713.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End3.6
blue by 16.7
1967
#17
34.58.3
23.431.7
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Third
2367
#37
4.21.1
7.46.3
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End2.0
blue by 7.0
7245
#36
11.28.3
5.013.4
Auto2.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned