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Red73
170011.7
75118.4
135144.1
Blue80
641835.8
87519.9
879327.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7277506080901007380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#10
26Coral points37
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
46Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
73Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.6
40.641.2
Auto15.6
Teleop25.8
End2.7
red by 8.3
6418
#11
35.80.1
29.529.7
Auto9.7
Teleop25.6
End0.5
Second
751
#16
18.40.6
14.515.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
blue by 8.7
27.20.1
29.129.2
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End3.7
Third
1700
#19
11.70.6
9.510.1
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 1.8
8751
#32
9.90.1
11.111.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed