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Red75
67038.0
499018.9
661931.9
Blue47
1037215.3
285426.7
914331.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9189506070801001101207547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
55Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#1
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
75Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#5
38.00.5
39.639.1
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End7.2
red by 6.2
9143
#14
31.83.3
27.123.8
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8
Second
6619
#13
31.90.5
22.321.8
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
red by 5.1
2854
#12
26.73.3
27.924.6
Auto3.5
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Third
4990
#21
18.90.5
17.917.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 3.6
15.33.3
23.720.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed