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Red127
10030.9
196734.5
135144.1
Blue60
724511.2
804844.7
170011.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106505010015020012760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+53Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#10
59Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
83Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
127Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.13.1
41.244.3
Auto15.6
Teleop25.8
End2.7
blue by 0.5
44.70.3
41.641.2
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
Second
1967
#17
34.53.1
31.734.8
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 22.8
1700
#19
11.70.5
10.19.6
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End0.0
Third
100
#10
30.93.4
21.825.1
Auto8.0
Teleop19.8
End3.2
red by 19.7
7245
#36
11.20.5
13.412.9
Auto2.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed