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Red174
264320.0
490415.6
1323108.2
Blue38
1005910.7
388020.7
248912.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15847010020025030017438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+114Teleop
+126Endgame
+136Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +86
24Coral scored#5
85Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
109Total teleop23
Reef
7L4#2
11L3#2
6L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +136
12Foul points2
174Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.22.6
100.3102.9
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
red by 87.5
3880
#18
20.71.5
21.920.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Second
2643
#24
20.02.6
15.117.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
red by 7.7
2489
#33
12.32.2
15.213.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
4904
#28
15.62.6
13.616.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
red by 4.9
10.72.2
16.414.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed