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Red159
914331.8
50277.7
594088.1
Blue106
75118.4
641835.8
415931.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1326750100150200159106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+41Teleop
+49Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +37
23Coral scored#11
84Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
112Total teleop75
Reef
11L4#6
7L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points2
159Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.13.2
81.684.8
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
red by 52.3
6418
#11
35.82.7
29.732.3
Auto9.7
Teleop25.6
End0.5
Second
9143
#14
31.83.2
23.827.0
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8
red by 0.6
4159
#15
31.22.7
23.526.1
Auto7.5
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Third
5027
#31
7.73.2
5.78.9
Auto0.9
Teleop7.3
End-0.5
blue by 10.8
751
#16
18.42.7
15.117.7
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed