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Red120
10030.9
1064415.1
58174.7
Blue70
681429.6
66813.7
499018.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1304005010015020012070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+52Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points30
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
18Processor points0
20Net points12
38Algae points12
76Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
120Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
74.70.8
69.870.6
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
red by 45.1
6814
#27
29.62.2
22.424.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End1.5
Second
100
#10
30.91.1
25.126.2
Auto8.0
Teleop19.8
End3.2
red by 12.0
4990
#21
18.92.2
17.419.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Third
15.11.1
13.814.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.9
red by 1.4
668
#30
13.72.2
7.79.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned