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Red77
1025210.7
879327.2
804844.7
Blue63
605914.8
67038.0
1037215.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938240601001207763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+20Teleop
+12Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
0Processor points0
16Net points4
16Algae points4
54Total teleop27
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points4
77Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.8
41.240.4
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
red by 6.7
670
#5
38.01.4
39.137.7
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Second
27.21.2
29.228.0
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End3.7
red by 11.9
15.31.4
20.419.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
10.71.2
12.611.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
blue by 4.0
6059
#35
14.81.4
13.612.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned