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Red168
1323108.2
900612.0
64917.8
Blue117
304559.9
248912.3
135144.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150122100200250168117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+41Teleop
+33Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points45
37Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +52
19Coral scored#11
67Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
105Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#6
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
20Foul points2
168Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.21.0
102.9103.9
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
red by 48.3
59.90.4
57.657.2
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
Second
649
#26
17.81.0
16.317.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End3.6
blue by 26.3
44.10.5
44.343.8
Auto15.6
Teleop25.8
End2.7
Third
9006
#20
12.01.0
12.013.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End0.6
blue by 0.3
2489
#33
12.30.5
13.012.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned