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Red56
499018.9
87519.9
264320.0
Blue152
415931.2
10030.9
681429.6
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5190010015056152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+86
Endgame+88
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +65
8Coral scored#18
29Coral points64
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
6Processor points24
8Net points20
14Algae points44
43Total teleop108
Reef
4L4#10
1L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points8
56Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#24
20.01.2
17.716.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
blue by 11.2
4159
#15
31.24.3
26.130.4
Auto7.5
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Second
4990
#21
18.91.2
19.518.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End2.4
blue by 12.0
100
#10
30.94.3
26.230.5
Auto8.0
Teleop19.8
End3.2
Third
8751
#32
9.91.2
11.810.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.5
blue by 19.7
6814
#27
29.64.3
24.628.8
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed