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Red212
1025210.7
58174.7
594088.1
Blue56
1037215.3
50277.7
75118.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2013305010015025030021256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+136Teleop
+158Endgame
+156Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
6Leave0
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points6
44Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +98
23Coral scored#10
84Coral points36
6Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
36Processor points6
24Net points4
60Algae points10
144Total teleop46
Reef
12L4#4
6L3#3
7L2#3
6L1 · trough#1
43Game pieces#13
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +156
0Foul points2
212Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.12.4
84.887.2
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
red by 69.6
751
#16
18.41.2
17.716.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Second
581
#3
74.71.8
70.672.4
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
red by 59.4
15.31.2
19.017.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
10.72.4
11.413.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
red by 3.0
5027
#31
7.71.2
8.97.7
Auto0.9
Teleop7.3
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed