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Red87
879327.2
388020.7
623839.4
Blue85
661931.9
196734.5
1064415.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90772040601001201401608785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+14
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
53Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#19
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
87Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.5
32.633.2
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End7.6
red by 4.9
1967
#17
34.51.0
34.835.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Second
27.20.5
28.028.6
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End3.7
blue by 4.7
6619
#13
31.91.0
23.624.7
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
Third
3880
#18
20.70.4
20.420.8
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.6
red by 5.6
15.11.0
14.915.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed