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Red102
170011.7
605914.8
76640.8
Blue74
914331.8
724511.2
264320.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6365020408010012014016010274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +27
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
89Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
102Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#25
40.82.2
33.635.9
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End5.4
red by 9.0
9143
#14
31.80.2
27.026.8
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8
Second
6059
#35
14.82.4
12.314.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 5.2
2643
#24
20.00.2
16.516.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
Third
1700
#19
11.72.4
9.612.1
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 0.5
7245
#36
11.20.2
12.912.6
Auto2.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed