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Red149
594088.1
64917.8
10030.9
Blue37
1025210.7
248912.3
499018.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17138010015020025030014937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+104Teleop
+114Endgame
+112Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +76
17Coral scored#3
60Coral points12
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
98Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#1
8L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
32Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +112
0Foul points2
149Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.10.2
87.287.4
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
red by 69.1
4990
#21
18.91.7
18.316.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
100
#10
30.90.2
30.530.7
Auto8.0
Teleop19.8
End3.2
red by 18.6
2489
#33
12.31.7
12.510.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
649
#26
17.80.2
17.317.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End3.6
red by 7.1
10.71.7
13.912.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed