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Red150
75118.4
1323108.2
499018.9
Blue92
623839.4
1025210.7
285426.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1217405010015020015092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+58Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points9
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
17Coral scored#10
62Coral points37
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
18Processor points18
20Net points12
38Algae points30
100Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#5
9L3#3
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
150Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.23.9
57.561.5
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
red by 68.8
39.41.1
20.821.9
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Second
4990
#21
18.93.9
16.820.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End2.4
blue by 7.8
2854
#12
26.71.1
33.334.4
Auto3.5
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Third
751
#16
18.43.9
26.330.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
red by 7.7
10.71.1
13.714.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned