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Red68
50277.7
264320.0
641835.8
Blue59
196734.5
605914.8
87519.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6668204060801001206859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
49Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
68Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#11
35.80.3
24.324.1
Auto9.7
Teleop25.6
End0.5
red by 1.3
1967
#17
34.51.2
28.126.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Second
2643
#24
20.00.3
23.122.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
red by 5.2
6059
#35
14.81.2
14.513.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Third
5027
#31
7.70.3
11.110.8
Auto0.9
Teleop7.3
End-0.5
blue by 2.3
8751
#32
9.91.2
13.612.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed