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Red204
641835.8
1323108.2
661931.9
Blue154
804844.7
499018.9
304559.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18511150100150200250204154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave9
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points23
40Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +42
31Coral scored#21
112Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
150Total teleop108
Reef
9L4#7
13L3#11
9L2#5
7L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
204Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.22.0
105.8107.8
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
red by 48.3
59.92.1
56.058.0
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
Second
6418
#11
35.82.0
33.135.2
Auto9.7
Teleop25.6
End0.5
blue by 8.9
44.72.1
39.241.2
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
Third
6619
#13
31.92.0
26.428.4
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
red by 12.9
4990
#21
18.92.3
16.618.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned