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Red79
87519.9
681429.6
914331.8
Blue28
1005910.7
1025210.7
724511.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8240020601001201401607928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+53Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
13Coral scored#3
45Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
55Total teleop9
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points6
79Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9143
#14
31.80.3
27.027.4
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8
red by 20.6
7245
#36
11.21.3
12.511.2
Auto2.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
Second
6814
#27
29.60.3
28.729.0
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End1.5
red by 18.9
10.71.3
12.110.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Third
8751
#32
9.90.3
9.69.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.5
blue by 0.7
10.71.3
12.010.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsEarned2%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed