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Red221
1323108.2
64917.8
594088.1
Blue111
681429.6
415931.2
641835.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24890050150200300350221111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+86Teleop
+108Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
11Coral scored#6
55Coral points31
55Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +68
26Coral scored#17
94Coral points62
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
18Processor points6
28Net points4
46Algae points10
140Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#8
15L3#6
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#25
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +110
2Foul points0
221Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.20.0
107.8107.8
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
red by 72.4
6418
#11
35.80.2
35.235.4
Auto9.7
Teleop25.6
End0.5
Second
88.10.0
87.787.7
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
red by 56.9
4159
#15
31.20.2
30.530.8
Auto7.5
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Third
649
#26
17.80.0
17.517.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End3.6
blue by 11.8
6814
#27
29.60.2
29.029.2
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End1.5