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Red75
388020.7
879327.2
196734.5
Blue136
76640.8
623839.4
914331.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921105015020075136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+49
Endgame+51
Fouls+61
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +53
12Coral scored#19
42Coral points67
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
52Total teleop105
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +61
2Foul points12
75Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#17
34.50.3
35.234.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End1.6
blue by 6.3
766
#25
40.80.6
36.436.9
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End5.4
Second
27.20.3
27.827.6
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End3.7
blue by 12.2
39.40.6
34.935.5
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
3880
#18
20.70.3
21.321.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.6
blue by 11.1
9143
#14
31.80.6
27.427.9
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8