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Red232
473864.8
997729.9
519978.9
Blue245
699576.3
153864.6
998229.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200203140160180220240260280232245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +17
26Coral scored#26
95Coral points94
4Processor algae#7
9Net algae#9
24Processor points42
36Net points36
60Algae points78
155Total teleop172
Reef
13L4#11
10L3#13
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
232Total score245

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.90.9
78.178.9
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 2.6
76.31.3
75.176.3
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
Second
4738
#10
64.80.9
63.964.8
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 0.2
64.61.3
63.364.6
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Third
9977
#33
29.91.1
28.829.9
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 0.7
9982
#29
29.21.7
27.529.2
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5