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Red262
473864.8
997729.9
519978.9
Blue252
699576.3
153864.6
998229.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195197140160180220240260262252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +4
35Coral scored#29
125Coral points105
3Processor algae#7
8Net algae#8
18Processor points42
32Net points32
50Algae points74
175Total teleop179
Reef
16L4#10
10L3#15
12L2#7
7L1 · trough#4
56Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
262Total score252

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.91.3
76.778.1
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 2.6
76.31.2
73.975.1
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
Second
4738
#10
64.81.3
62.663.9
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 0.2
64.61.2
62.263.3
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Third
9977
#33
29.91.6
27.228.8
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 0.7
9982
#29
29.21.6
26.027.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5