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Red199
473864.8
997729.9
519978.9
Blue252
699576.3
153864.6
998229.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192193140160180200220240260199252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+41
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points35
44Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +44
23Coral scored#40
81Coral points145
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#7
24Processor points12
36Net points28
60Algae points40
141Total teleop185
Reef
12L4#21
11L3#9
4L2#8
5L1 · trough#9
45Game pieces#56
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
199Total score252

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.90.1
76.976.7
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 2.6
76.31.2
72.773.9
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
Second
4738
#10
64.80.1
62.762.6
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 0.2
64.61.2
61.062.2
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Third
9977
#33
29.90.2
27.327.2
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 0.7
9982
#29
29.21.6
24.426.0
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5