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Red193
699576.3
153864.6
998229.2
Blue145
248537.3
210240.6
997925.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194117050100150250300350193145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +45
24Coral scored#20
88Coral points71
3Processor algae#1
9Net algae#5
18Processor points6
36Net points20
54Algae points26
142Total teleop97
Reef
10L4#7
7L3#9
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +48
12Foul points6
193Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.30.0
72.772.7
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
red by 35.7
40.60.3
40.340.6
Auto5.1
Teleop26.6
End8.9
Second
64.60.0
61.061.0
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
red by 27.3
2485
#12
37.30.3
37.037.3
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
Third
9982
#29
29.20.0
24.424.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5
red by 3.3
9979
#20
25.90.4
25.525.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5