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Red63
95736.9
547433.7
997623.6
Blue150
248537.3
210240.6
997925.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57119010015020025063150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+87
Endgame+87
Fouls+87
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +91
8Coral scored#23
30Coral points81
0Processor algae#4
1Net algae#5
0Processor points24
4Net points20
4Algae points44
34Total teleop125
Reef
6L4#12
2L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
14Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points0
63Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5474
#21
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
blue by 7.0
40.61.1
39.240.3
Auto5.1
Teleop26.6
End8.9
Second
9976
#22
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End6.5
blue by 13.7
2485
#12
37.31.1
35.937.0
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
Third
9573
#35
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.1
End1.2
blue by 19.0
9979
#20
25.91.4
24.125.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5