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Red259
473864.8
997729.9
519978.9
Blue256
699576.3
153864.6
998229.2
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185188140160200220240259256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +13
32Coral scored#37
114Coral points133
5Processor algae#4
9Net algae#9
30Processor points24
36Net points36
66Algae points60
180Total teleop193
Reef
11L4#20
10L3#9
10L2#9
7L1 · trough#5
52Game pieces#56
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
259Total score256

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.91.2
75.776.9
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 2.6
76.31.5
71.372.7
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
Second
4738
#10
64.81.2
61.562.7
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 0.2
64.61.5
59.561.0
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Third
9977
#33
29.91.5
25.927.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 0.7
9982
#29
29.21.9
22.524.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5