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Red147
998043.5
547433.7
997623.6
Blue101
298416.6
551429.4
254346.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103976080120140160147101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+44Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
26Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +36
21Coral scored#10
75Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
99Total teleop63
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#2
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
147Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.2
42.343.5
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End4.9
blue by 2.5
46.00.2
45.846.0
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End10.7
Second
5474
#21
33.71.0
32.733.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
red by 4.3
5514
#16
29.40.2
29.229.4
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.6
Third
9976
#22
23.61.2
22.423.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End6.5
red by 7.0
2984
#24
16.60.2
16.416.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.0