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Red111
513732.8
312850.4
364728.6
Blue153
248537.3
210240.6
997925.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291090200300400111153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+40
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
14Coral scored#20
50Coral points71
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
24Processor points18
16Net points20
40Algae points38
90Total teleop109
Reef
7L4#10
4L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
111Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.0
50.450.4
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End11.4
red by 9.7
40.61.3
37.939.2
Auto5.1
Teleop26.6
End8.9
Second
5137
#13
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End4.8
blue by 4.5
2485
#12
37.31.3
34.635.9
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
Third
3647
#23
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto3.6
Teleop23.4
End1.6
red by 2.7
9979
#20
25.91.6
22.524.1
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5