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Red244
699576.3
153864.6
998229.2
Blue174
998043.5
547433.7
997623.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18384050100150200250300350244174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+58Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points27
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +54
35Coral scored#21
125Coral points77
5Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
30Processor points12
16Net points28
46Algae points40
171Total teleop117
Reef
13L4#7
13L3#10
10L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#35
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
244Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.31.5
69.771.3
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
red by 32.8
43.51.6
40.842.3
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End4.9
Second
64.61.5
58.059.5
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
red by 30.9
5474
#21
33.71.3
31.432.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
Third
9982
#29
29.22.0
20.422.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5
red by 5.6
9976
#22
23.61.6
20.922.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End6.5