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Red225
473864.8
997729.9
519978.9
Blue124
513732.8
312850.4
364728.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189120050100150250300350225124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+77Teleop
+97Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
3Leave0
10Coral scored#2
48Coral points12
51Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +38
29Coral scored#21
104Coral points74
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
134Total teleop96
Reef
16L4#9
10L3#6
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +101
4Foul points0
225Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.91.2
74.475.7
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 28.6
50.40.2
50.250.4
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End11.4
Second
4738
#10
64.81.2
60.361.5
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 32.0
5137
#13
32.80.2
32.732.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End4.8
Third
9977
#33
29.91.5
24.325.9
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 1.3
3647
#23
28.60.2
28.428.6
Auto3.6
Teleop23.4
End1.6