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Red122
248537.3
210240.6
997925.9
Blue109
374917.3
265813.2
441948.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11084050150200122109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
19Coral scored#18
70Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
86Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
122Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.6
37.337.9
Auto5.1
Teleop26.6
End8.9
blue by 8.2
48.80.6
48.248.8
Auto10.7
Teleop30.7
End7.5
Second
2485
#12
37.30.6
34.034.6
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
red by 20.0
3749
#34
17.30.6
16.717.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.6
Third
9979
#20
25.90.7
21.822.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5
red by 12.7
2658
#31
13.20.6
12.613.2
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End0.8