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Red109
945239.9
889133.5
1058621.2
Blue123
551429.4
298416.6
254346.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106100050150200250300109123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points15
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
88Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points18
109Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#14
39.90.2
39.739.9
Auto6.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
blue by 6.1
46.00.1
45.745.8
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End10.7
Second
8891
#11
33.50.2
33.433.5
Auto4.8
Teleop26.8
End1.9
red by 4.2
5514
#16
29.40.1
29.029.2
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.6
Third
21.20.2
21.021.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End1.5
red by 4.5
2984
#24
16.60.1
16.316.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.0