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Red137
248537.3
210240.6
945239.9
Blue101
441948.8
551429.4
364728.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11892050150200250300350400137101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+36Teleop
+24Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +42
21Coral scored#15
77Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
105Total teleop63
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
12Foul points0
137Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.61.0
25.526.5
Auto5.1
Teleop26.6
End8.9
blue by 8.2
48.80.5
46.547.0
Auto10.7
Teleop30.7
End7.5
Second
9452
#14
39.91.0
36.537.4
Auto6.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
red by 10.5
5514
#16
29.40.5
26.727.2
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.6
Third
2485
#12
37.31.0
48.249.2
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
red by 8.8
3647
#23
28.60.5
20.020.5
Auto3.6
Teleop23.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed