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Red143
95736.9
254346.0
519978.9
Blue33
364728.6
416015.4
99756.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1413305010020025030014333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+90Teleop
+110Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
0Leave3
5Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
26Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +67
20Coral scored#6
73Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
91Total teleop24
Reef
11L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#7
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +110
0Foul points0
143Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.91.9
65.767.6
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 50.4
3647
#23
28.61.2
21.620.4
Auto3.6
Teleop23.4
End1.6
Second
46.01.9
42.544.4
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End10.7
red by 30.6
4160
#36
15.41.2
21.420.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End3.2
Third
9573
#35
6.91.9
6.58.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.1
End1.2
red by 0.2
9975
#32
6.72.0
7.95.9
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed