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Red126
210240.6
998313.3
519978.9
Blue88
325554.8
265813.2
99756.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11455015020025030035012688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#16
57Coral points56
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
77Total teleop68
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
126Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.92.0
67.669.6
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 24.1
54.81.3
53.855.1
Auto7.3
Teleop38.1
End9.4
Second
40.62.0
31.533.5
Auto5.1
Teleop26.6
End8.9
red by 27.4
2658
#31
13.21.3
9.410.7
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End0.8
Third
9983
#18
13.33.3
-2.60.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.8
red by 6.6
9975
#32
6.72.1
5.98.0
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed