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Red26
248537.3
99756.7
473864.8
Blue90
669510.7
153864.6
312850.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071360501502002502690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+58
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
0Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +42
6Coral scored#16
22Coral points58
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
26Total teleop68
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#6
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
26Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#10
64.86.5
58.051.5
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 0.2
64.63.4
58.054.6
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Second
2485
#12
37.36.5
39.933.4
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
blue by 13.0
50.43.4
51.648.2
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End11.4
Third
9975
#32
6.710.9
8.0-2.9
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 4.0
6695
#15
10.73.4
7.13.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned